Lively-Letter
0x79429b83258562798186f0832c9b204d1a1ada77
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$36.21
Total PnL
$-24.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- HERO JIUJING
Honor of Kings: WG vs Hero JiuJing (BO5) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1
19 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$18.53
$2.59
- AG SUPER PLAY
Honor of Kings: WST vs AG Super Play (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$5.42
$0.43
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
5 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.31
$0.31
- TEAM VITALITY
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$3.14
$1.16
- EDWARD GAMING
Honor of Kings: SYGaming vs EDward Gaming (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.64
$-0.36
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?
307 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
177 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?
34 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?
16 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$2.00May 4, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$2.01May 4, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHonor of Kings: WST vs AG Super Play (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1$5.00Apr 28, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHonor of Kings: SYGaming vs EDward Gaming (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1$2.00Apr 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYHonor of Kings: WG vs Hero JiuJing (BO5) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1$16.00Apr 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.06Apr 28, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$2.00Apr 27, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?$5.00Apr 27, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$5.00Apr 27, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$3.00Mar 22, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?$5.00Mar 22, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.00Mar 22, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$5.00Mar 22, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$5.00Mar 22, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$2.00Mar 22, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$2.00Mar 22, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.00Mar 22, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$2.00Mar 22, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?$2.00Mar 22, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?$2.00Mar 22, 02:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $3.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 02:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 16:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.