Afraid-Batting
0x7a10bf52f2625d7ff786d363e6f56e06dce494bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$174.52
Total PnL
$-16.71
Realised
$-0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 28, 2026$13.26
$3.26
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
60 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
33 shares @ 30.2¢·now 30.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.86
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$10.00May 28, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$10.00May 28, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00May 28, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00May 28, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00May 28, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$10.00May 28, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 15, 2026?$10.38May 28, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$10.00May 28, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$10.00May 28, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$10.00May 28, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$10.00May 28, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$10.00May 28, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$10.00May 28, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$9.77May 28, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25May 28, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25May 28, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28?$10.10May 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia win on 2026-05-28?$10.22May 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-01?$10.14May 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-05-31?$10.13May 28, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $9.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 14:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 17:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".