Barren-Laughter
0x7a251ff68217a0418a8f7eddede5b638f8c881d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.7K
Total PnL
$586.71
Realised
$374.95
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
3600 shares @ 87.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$247.61
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1000 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$980.50
$18.50
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
561 shares @ 89.8¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$511.20
$6.73
- NO
US civil war before 2027?
403 shares @ 89.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$403.23
$41.71
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
315 shares @ 63.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$315.00
$114.97
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
70 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.02
$26.61
- NO
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
13 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.25
$1.59
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
248 shares @ 81.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-201.71
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
50 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-44.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$50.00Apr 25, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get between 83 and 84 million views on day 6?$5.57Apr 24, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get between 82 and 83 million views on day 6?$40.09Apr 24, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's video get 85 million or more views on day 6?$1.09Apr 23, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's video get 85 million or more views on day 6?$0.18Apr 23, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's video get 85 million or more views on day 6?$0.63Apr 23, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's video get 85 million or more views on day 6?$12.87Apr 23, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's video get 85 million or more views on day 6?$8.26Apr 23, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 82 and 83 million views on day 6?$30.59Apr 23, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get 85 million or more views on day 6?$36.00Apr 23, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 82 and 83 million views on day 6?$8.55Apr 23, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 83 and 84 million views on day 6?$3.03Apr 23, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 83 and 84 million views on day 6?$2.03Apr 23, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$68.60Apr 23, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$44.50Apr 22, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$135.00Apr 22, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$1.17Apr 21, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$0.07Apr 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$0.07Apr 21, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$5.00Apr 21, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $30.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 19:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.