Noteworthy-Thinking
0x7addce8a2853d5b9b067b7465a8dbfc4a87ff9f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$828.57
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$1.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
2077 shares @ 28.6¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$332.36
$-262.31
- YES
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
3010 shares @ 50.2¢·now 4.3¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$130.62
$-1.4K
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
320 shares @ 83.9¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.60
$-186.80
- NO
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
134 shares @ 74.5¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.54
$-23.46
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
647 shares @ 19.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.45
$-61.45
- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 47.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
168 shares @ 17.7¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.01
$-8.75
- YES
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
104 shares @ 14.3¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.26
$5.38
- YES
Glean IPO before 2027?
119 shares @ 24.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.71
$-10.05
- YES
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
119 shares @ 25.1¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.07
$-16.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$1.03Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$10.54Jun 13, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$77.84Jun 13, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$51.00Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$960.21Jun 11, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.00Jun 2, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 2, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$0.00Jun 2, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.00Jun 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$0.00Jun 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Jun 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Jun 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.00Jun 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Jun 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Jun 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00Jun 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$0.00Jun 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 7?$0.00Jun 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 7?$0.00Jun 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$0.00Jun 1, 06:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $86.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.