Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
Probability
20¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$12.88
Liquidity
$2.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5986.9h
- 13:08SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 20¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 20¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 20¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 20¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 20¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 20¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 20¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 20¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 20¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 20¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 22¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 61¢-3.4pp
Discord IPO before 2027?
Business · Vol $29.58
- 14¢+0.5pp
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?
Business · Vol $67.50
- 14¢-0.5pp
Ramp IPO before 2027?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 12¢0.0pp
Vanta IPO before 2027?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 37¢0.0pp
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
AI · Vol $326.55
- 12¢+0.5pp
Rippling IPO before 2027?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 37¢-1.5pp
Remote IPO before 2027?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 28¢-1.5pp
Deel IPO before 2027?
Business · Vol $203.00
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).