Square-Thread
0x7af0d3c0acf5f8fec66b098416999a471aaf2e2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$220.01
Total PnL
$-405.07
Realised
$2.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
1027 shares @ 38.7¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.96
$-207.04
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
90 shares @ 31.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.71
$-11.29
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
59 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.26
$-0.74
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
100 shares @ 32.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.85
$-29.15
- YES
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 10.4¢·now 9.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
47 shares @ 4.3¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.47
$-0.53
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
115 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.09
$-2.91
- YES
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
53 shares @ 5.7¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.63
$-2.37
- YES
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
86 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.39
$-2.61
- YES
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?
202 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$28.00Apr 21, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$100.00Apr 20, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$127.27Apr 20, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$7.00Apr 17, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$6.06Apr 17, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$11.00Apr 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$9.55Apr 17, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary?$2.00Apr 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$4.56Apr 10, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$5.00Apr 9, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$120.00Apr 9, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$122.81Apr 8, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar strike Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 6, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$70.00Apr 6, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$10.00Apr 5, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$10.00Apr 5, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$39.00Apr 2, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$26.85Apr 2, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$32.00Mar 30, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$22.22Mar 30, 23:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $31.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 22:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 14:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.