Dutiful-Complexity
0x7c3089753761138b705aae8803a408c5c57cd34e
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$17.60
Total PnL
$-24.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.37
$0.99
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.12
$0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?
3 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 1, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
4 shares @ 47.5¢·now 41.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in May?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?$5.0412h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?$5.0212h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 2?$1.3512h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 1?$1.5412h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$1.6912h ago
- REDEEMWill Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$5.4312h ago
- REDEEMWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$6.4912h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?$3.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?$1.022d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in May?$1.022d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 2?$1.012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$1.022d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?$1.022d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 1?$1.022d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?$5.172d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.022d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?$5.014d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 28?$5.334d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 28?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28?$0.004d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 12h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".