Favorite-Mammoth
0x7de7cbeba7e2ea14c6445be39d4d46a3cf14a9c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$68.0K
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
9436 shares @ 73.5¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.8K
$-141.92
- NO
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
7000 shares @ 77.5¢·now 88.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.2K
$783.22
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.4K
$450.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
5000 shares @ 86.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$410.80
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5000 shares @ 89.3¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$215.53
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4998 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.4K
$124.95
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
5000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.3K
$475.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
5000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$25.00
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
3576 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.3K
$196.70
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
4644 shares @ 66.5¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.0K
$-70.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.06Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$999.99Jun 12, 17:01 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$2.1KJun 9, 04:29 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.06Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.06Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.06Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.0KJun 4, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.0KJun 4, 07:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.19Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.29Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.29May 31, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: March$813.92May 30, 08:54 UTC
- YIELD$1.29May 30, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $104.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.