Favorite-Mammoth
0x7de7cbeba7e2ea14c6445be39d4d46a3cf14a9c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$62.3K
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
7000 shares @ 77.5¢·now 87.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.1K
$681.72
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.7K
$690.00
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
9436 shares @ 73.5¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$-1.7K
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5000 shares @ 89.3¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$353.03
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
5000 shares @ 86.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$458.30
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4998 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$399.84
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
5000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.5K
$675.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
5000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.4K
$575.00
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
3576 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$366.58
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
8297 shares @ 29.1¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.1K
$693.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.09Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.09Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.09Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.09Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.09Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.09Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.09Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.09Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.09Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$1.09Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.07Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.