Serene-Language
0x7efc0c06dc77237c024b44cc82ad936816067565
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$28.69
Total PnL
$-77.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.93
$1.93
- YES
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 48.5¢·now 49.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
5 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
15 shares @ 9.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.62
$1.27
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.60
$-1.60
- YES
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
7 shares @ 16.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.57
$0.45
- YES
Will Germany be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
10 shares @ 5.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.55
$1.05
- YES
Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.50
$-0.40
- YES
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?
50 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.15
$-0.05
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$0.38Jun 11, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$0.50Jun 9, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?$1.95Jun 4, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.79Jun 4, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$1.05Jun 3, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$2.17Jun 3, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$0.75Jun 3, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?$4.30Jun 3, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$0.47Jun 3, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.16Jun 3, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$1.40Jun 3, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?$1.25Jun 3, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.75Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?$80.22Jun 1, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 30?$5.00May 31, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?$1.05May 29, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have between 20-25mm of precipitation in May?$3.13May 29, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 30?$1.05May 28, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 30?$1.60May 28, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 30?$1.71May 28, 07:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 15:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 19:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.