Informal-Dynamo
0x7f186f736594f91c8fc12e2e0e2103c59bd56ae5
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$75.64
Total PnL
$-141.21
Realised
$-74.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
15 shares @ 30.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$15.12
$10.54
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.68
$0.68
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.71
$-0.29
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.64
$-1.16
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.35
$2.35
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.88
$0.88
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.75
$0.75
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.02
$-0.98
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Nigeria by December 31?$0.00Jan 7, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$0.00Jan 7, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$0.00Jan 7, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$0.00Jan 7, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$0.00Jan 7, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 all time high by December 31?$0.00Jan 7, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$4.58Jan 7, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Playboi Carti release an album in 2026?$5.00Jan 7, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Maduro capture staged?$5.00Jan 7, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLFact Check: Maduro capture staged?$14.58Jan 7, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$9.80Jan 7, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$10.00Jan 7, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$5.00Jan 7, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$5.00Jan 7, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$5.00Jan 7, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$5.00Jan 7, 07:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $14.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 07:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.