Creepy-Vegetation
0x7f96229bd42dbe4d2f6db06da771ee6ec16da226
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$885.92
Total PnL
$47.04
Realised
$-10.39
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
183 shares @ 64.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$142.02
$23.50
- YES
Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
68 shares @ 68.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$59.16
$12.58
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
60 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$57.30
$5.70
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
59 shares @ 81.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$56.87
$8.82
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
70 shares @ 74.5¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$53.55
$1.40
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
108 shares @ 47.2¢·now 48.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$51.73
$0.86
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
128 shares @ 45.9¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.63
$-8.17
- NO
Kash Patel out by May 31?
60 shares @ 80.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.10
$1.90
- YES
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?
90 shares @ 42.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$43.55
$5.84
- YES
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
50 shares @ 72.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$39.75
$3.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$11.3841m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.585h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.945h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.575h ago
- TRADESELLWill Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$3.096h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$25.506h ago
- TRADESELLWill Ben Flook win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$0.046h ago
- TRADESELLWill Sirajul Islam win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?$0.036h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$3.416h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$1.787h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.8717h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$16.3217h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$14.2217h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$11.1517h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$13.9018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$4.0019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$20.1123h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$7.0123h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$18.451d ago
- TRADESELLWill Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$47.701d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 41m ago
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
