Vengeful-Mambo
0x826a18faa56e1b538060a4af3f5363e2915664f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$196.38
Total PnL
$27.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
67 shares @ 53.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$43.64
$8.29
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 60.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.09
$4.54
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
21 shares @ 76.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$19.07
$3.23
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
23 shares @ 74.3¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.62
$0.52
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
22 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.35
$-0.11
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 54.5¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.08
$0.17
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
11 shares @ 68.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.38
$0.59
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
11 shares @ 69.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.34
$0.46
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10 shares @ 74.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.25
$0.79
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 30.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.03
$5.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$4.6053m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$7.5753m ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$15.4653m ago
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.0814h ago
- REDEEMWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$3.1314h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$6.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.307d ago
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$5.807d ago
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.447d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7.347d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$8.517d ago
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.357d ago
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$0.547d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.238d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.888d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$2.018d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$2.188d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$5.998d ago
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$5.138d ago
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.938d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 19d ago
- Last active
- 53m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
