Questionable-Tech
0x82e0a0f82a3ea62534db39d68f0b8bd9a0d3bcfd
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$251.53
Total PnL
$-18.8K
Realised
$-372.49
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
164 shares @ 61.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.46
$2.46
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.33
$-21.67
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1158 shares @ 7.6¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.74
$-42.26
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
217 shares @ 23.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
7000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
6931 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.3K
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?
3215 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-836.00
- YES
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
3080 shares @ 69.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?
2356 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $10.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 06:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.