Poor-Tavern
0x8304ada4e1747a1d188d7233b5c047dfce42f086
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.7K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-121.18
Win rate
70%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
470 shares @ 65.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$411.25
$101.65
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
425 shares @ 88.4¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$399.07
$23.38
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
291 shares @ 62.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$284.44
$101.52
- NO
US x China Military clash before 2027?
300 shares @ 89.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$277.49
$8.50
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
250 shares @ 88.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$206.25
$-13.75
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
230 shares @ 83.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$205.85
$13.75
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$194.50
$8.50
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$181.00
$1.00
- NO
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
160 shares @ 83.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$144.80
$11.60
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
182 shares @ 71.5¢·now 78.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$141.80
$11.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by August 31, 2026?$4.90Jun 13, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$25.65Jun 13, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$18.59Jun 13, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.23Jun 13, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?$23.01Jun 13, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?$25.75Jun 13, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$18.09Jun 13, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$14.10Jun 13, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$29.58Jun 13, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYModi out by December 31, 2026?$30.17Jun 13, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$25.94Jun 13, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? $12.15Jun 13, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026?$7.10Jun 13, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?$14.42Jun 13, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$19.28Jun 13, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$77.71Jun 13, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$9.86Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$19.21Jun 13, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?$8.75Jun 13, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$10.13Jun 13, 01:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $20.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 02:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.