Cooked-Poll
0x8304bf854cd08d476a8489426dabbf46fbf82611
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$72.43
Total PnL
$-25.04
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
50 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$49.88
$-0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$14.98
$0.01
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.30
$-0.00
- NO
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.28
$-0.02
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 16?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?$29.97May 18, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00May 16, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$2.00May 16, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.01May 16, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?$14.97May 16, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?$29.94May 16, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$49.91May 16, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$1.35May 16, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$19.91May 16, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$19.94May 16, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$19.94May 16, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$39.92May 16, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.31May 14, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.30May 14, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$39.96May 14, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$19.96May 14, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$19.94May 14, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$19.94May 14, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$8.45May 14, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$29.84May 14, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $17.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".