Defenseless-Spat
0x834bce6aa8b40c4915d9a6e4722d140709ee089a
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$-177.88
Realised
$81.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
1305 shares @ 91.4¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$80.51
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
998 shares @ 65.1¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$713.63
$63.63
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
681 shares @ 88.1¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$652.85
$52.85
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
678 shares @ 81.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$573.05
$18.05
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
804 shares @ 63.4¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$398.02
$-111.98
- NO
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
395 shares @ 91.2¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$375.31
$15.31
- NO
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
280 shares @ 85.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$253.05
$13.05
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
226 shares @ 88.6¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$213.65
$13.65
- NO
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
183 shares @ 71.2¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$121.44
$-8.56
- YES
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
40 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.9¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$37.16
$0.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 14, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?$15.00Jun 14, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$87.66Jun 13, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$70.00Jun 13, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$20.28Jun 12, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-24?$15.07Jun 11, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$10.09Jun 11, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$10.11Jun 11, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$255.00Jun 11, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$339.99Jun 11, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$728.59Jun 11, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$82.53Jun 11, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$30.19Jun 11, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$45.80Jun 10, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$27.60Jun 9, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$4.60Jun 9, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$4.60Jun 9, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$75.00Jun 9, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 6, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$216.48Jun 6, 17:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $100.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.