0x847ceca115800e52ff74ad54f76c3e7ebec4dffd
0x847ceca115800e52ff74ad54f76c3e7ebec4dffd
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$46.34
Total PnL
$-105.88
Realised
$4.67
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
8 shares @ 59.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.27
$0.77
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
7 shares @ 64.6¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.19
$0.69
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 86.7¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.52
$0.02
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5 shares @ 59.5¢·now 68.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.46
$0.46
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
3 shares @ 87.5¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.26
$0.26
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.19
$0.19
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.14
$0.64
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.94
$-1.06
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.74
$0.24
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.69
$0.19
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 4?$1.61Jun 4, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 4?$1.51Jun 4, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 4?$1.55Jun 4, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 3?$1.70Jun 3, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 3?$1.50Jun 3, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 3?$1.52Jun 3, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 3?$1.51Jun 3, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 2?$4.01Jun 2, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 2?$1.52Jun 2, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 2?$1.52Jun 2, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 2?$2.86Jun 2, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 2?$1.52Jun 2, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 2?$1.52Jun 2, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.50Jun 1, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$4.82Jun 1, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$1.50Jun 1, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 31?$1.53Jun 1, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.50Jun 1, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.50Jun 1, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$2.93Jun 1, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".