Close-Cascade
0x848da3164e3c7bbff8150f0070a1fa6a22e476c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-52.12
Win rate
36%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- CAPITALS
Capitals vs. Penguins
740 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$740.00
$621.60
- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
674 shares @ 79.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$674.00
$136.15
- EC JUVENTUDE
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
601 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$300.50
$0.00
- MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS
Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls
552 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$276.00
$-11.04
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
310 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$260.40
$6.20
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
343 shares @ 48.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$257.25
$92.61
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
40 shares @ 65.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$37.72
$11.72
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 73.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.96
$1.08
- NO
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.96
$0.09
- NO
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.77
$-0.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$6.66Apr 27, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$8.57Apr 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$54.23Apr 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$5.40Apr 24, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$110.20Apr 23, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$1.2KApr 21, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$94.17Apr 21, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?$336.96Apr 21, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?$358.56Apr 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score$112.33Apr 13, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score$246.75Apr 13, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$311.35Apr 13, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$401.70Apr 13, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$416.00Apr 13, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score$359.08Apr 13, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 1.5$242.73Apr 13, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$1.36Apr 12, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$5.61Apr 12, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$112.71Apr 12, 15:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $192.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 05:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.