Clear-Cut-Jailhouse
0x84bc872daef879a542d3767e3b02783225bf8d98
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$71.00
Total PnL
$-13.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
11 shares @ 87.3¢·now 87.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.59
$-0.41
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.15
$-3.85
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.27
$0.27
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.11
$0.11
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$10.111d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$10.001d ago
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$10.031d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$5.001d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$5.001d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.001d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$5.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$10.011d ago
- REDEEMWill Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?$5.211d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?$5.0084d ago
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$5.6284d ago
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?$9.6284d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?$9.2292d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?$5.0094d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?$5.0094d ago
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$5.0094d ago
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$5.3894d ago
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by January 31?$5.3894d ago
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by January 31?$5.00117d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $7.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 275d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
