0x86562404fc89274ae10c19c0200f34f02af1718d
0x86562404fc89274ae10c19c0200f34f02af1718d
Quality score
88/100
Open positions
20
Open notional
$89.25
Total PnL
$1.53
Realised
$0.54
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
16 shares @ 91.4¢·now 95.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$14.96
$0.56
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
14 shares @ 96.1¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.57
$0.00
- NO
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
15 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.90
$0.30
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
9 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.75
$-0.05
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-0.04
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
7 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$6.98
$0.01
- YES
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
620 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.96
$-0.29
- NO
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.87
$0.31
- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$3.67
$-0.11
- YES
Will Romuald Wadagni be the next President of Benin?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.87
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.362h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$1.4014h ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$3.942d ago
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$0.262d ago
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$1.892d ago
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$2.312d ago
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$1.892d ago
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$2.312d ago
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$5.602d ago
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$0.462d ago
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$0.032d ago
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$0.282d ago
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$0.142d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.662d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.402d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.272d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.062d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.012d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.