Will Romuald Wadagni be the next President of Benin?
Probability
98¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$30.75
Liquidity
$11.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 11:55SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 97¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
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Top Holders
20 wallets- Artistic-Tire5.0K
- 0xa5ef…29661.6K
- Dry-Legislature1.0K
- Liquid-Comment979
- Essential-Diarist929