Raw-Shawl-Macrofauna
0x867250af03c83ada6bf50333ba915745977962bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$122.30
Total PnL
$29.78
Realised
$0.44
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
65 shares @ 21.9¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.07
$26.94
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
37 shares @ 86.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.06
$1.33
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.38
$0.48
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
10 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.77
$0.82
- NO
Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.36
$0.38
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
29 shares @ 33.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.84
$-0.57
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
21 shares @ 24.2¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.84
$-0.20
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
3 shares @ 68.3¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.78
$-0.21
- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.69
$-0.02
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$0.18Jun 14, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$0.12Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$0.19Jun 14, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$0.07Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$1.18Jun 14, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$10.00Jun 14, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$11.00Jun 14, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.01Jun 13, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.01Jun 13, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.01Jun 13, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.09Jun 13, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.05Jun 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.04Jun 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.09Jun 13, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.02Jun 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.10Jun 13, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$1.49Jun 12, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.27Jun 12, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$0.32Jun 12, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$7.79Jun 11, 03:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 13:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.