Beneficial-Requirement
0x87bab5083ed4497685a98964d135e91026099fd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$320.77
Total PnL
$6.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 92.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$49.98
$3.73
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
50 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$49.95
$0.65
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
25 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.82
$2.57
- NO
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
25 shares @ 77.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 20, 2027$23.63
$4.38
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
25 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$23.34
$2.34
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
25 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.38
$-0.13
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
21 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.35
$1.27
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
25 shares @ 42.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.88
$8.38
- YES
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
25 shares @ 77.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Sep 17, 2026$18.63
$-0.63
- YES
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
25 shares @ 78.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?$0.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-15?$0.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$0.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$5.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$5.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$5.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the World Cup?$25.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: England (-1.5)$0.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$5.00Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $10.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 16:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.