White-Valance
0x88a0e5a0af83be69c3507727f119956e8cb7506f
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$119.27
Total PnL
$-216.52
Realised
$-1.54
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
102 shares @ 48.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$56.05
$7.13
- NO
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.09
$4.90
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
11 shares @ 88.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.61
$0.81
- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 12.8¢·now 81.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.35
$5.35
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 87.6¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.48
$-0.52
- NO
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.28
$2.28
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3 shares @ 75.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.34
$0.34
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
2 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.45
$0.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $6.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.