0x88ec2648c195f727288472b6ed3201ccd6247ef0
0x88ec2648c195f727288472b6ed3201ccd6247ef0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$108.93
Total PnL
$18.87
Realised
$0.84
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?
22 shares @ 91.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$21.68
$1.79
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
22 shares @ 66.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$16.68
$1.90
- YES
Will Sui reach $2.00 before 2027?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.89
$8.91
- YES
Will Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.82
$8.80
- NO
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
16 shares @ 30.0¢·now 34.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.64
$0.78
- YES
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
980 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.39
$3.43
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.61
$2.03
- YES
Haiti elections delayed again?
4 shares @ 75.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Aug 30, 2026$3.10
$-0.25
- YES
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2005 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.01
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 10.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.91
$0.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?$20.07Jul 3, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 3?$2.59Jul 3, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?$11.43Jul 3, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$15.05Jul 3, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 3?$3.12Jul 2, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$0.00Jul 2, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$1.15Jul 2, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?$0.00Jul 2, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?$5.77Jul 2, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?$1.17Jul 2, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?$0.20Jul 2, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?$0.26Jul 2, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?$0.06Jul 2, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?$0.07Jul 2, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?$2.21Jul 1, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?$0.00Jul 1, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 1?$0.00Jul 1, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.00Jul 1, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$0.00Jul 1, 07:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 04:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.