Tremendous-Test
0x89961f6c262824bf40fb10287a9d0789b7d99c76
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$75.74
Total PnL
$-42.52
Realised
$5.79
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
551 shares @ 19.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.85
$-46.84
- NO
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
18 shares @ 74.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.31
$0.99
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.98
$-0.17
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
1 shares @ 37.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.66
$0.28
- YES
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 27.6¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.60
$-0.23
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-1.40
- YES
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
63 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tasso Lago win the Defi App trading competition?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in December 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill BYU make the College Football Playoff?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taiki Maeda win the Orderly trading competition?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$39.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEM20+ trapped Hamas fighters allowed to leave in 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: AI Edition$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMSBF released from custody in 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMDan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.