Fat-Wage
0x89d0f8e2ac8dcfacfe57cd666ff0dec49e03dbb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$46.53
Total PnL
$-124.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
47 shares @ 31.3¢·now 26.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.69
$-2.13
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 74.2¢·now 42.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.62
$-3.38
- YES
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.31
$0.37
- NO
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- NO
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 96.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.93
$-0.07
- NO
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.45
$0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 8, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?$1.94Apr 8, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?$1.00Apr 8, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?$1.00Apr 8, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 8, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 130 seats?$1.00Apr 8, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 90 seats?$1.00Apr 8, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?$1.00Apr 8, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$1.00Apr 8, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 8, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Apr 8, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Apr 8, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Apr 8, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$35.35Apr 8, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$35.35Apr 8, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$32.33Apr 8, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 February 16-22?$1.01Apr 8, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$1.01Apr 8, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?$1.01Apr 8, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$1.01Apr 8, 01:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 05:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 03:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.