0x8a3151ef72e23db144039325fae7cacfd041f0b3
0x8a3151ef72e23db144039325fae7cacfd041f0b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$185.23
Total PnL
$-80.53
Realised
$-123.32
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.13
$15.03
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 46.6¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$32.14
$10.76
- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
30 shares @ 70.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$29.98
$8.93
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.91
$1.50
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 68.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.36
$4.54
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.11
$1.11
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
11 shares @ 94.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.42
$0.45
- NO
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
10 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.18
$0.20
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.01
$2.30
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?$4.40Jun 14, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift pregnant before 2027?$2.37Jun 14, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.63Jun 14, 04:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.15May 29, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$2.00May 28, 03:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2.70May 27, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2.08May 27, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$8.86May 27, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$3.55May 27, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.13May 27, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3.25May 27, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.96May 27, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$4.90May 27, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$2.00May 27, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.90May 27, 03:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 04:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.