Sardonic-Cue
0x8a7b576b7a53ef54876f9eca18bcd84f12d8782f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$23.8K
Total PnL
$4.3K
Realised
$3.1K
Win rate
94%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
5000 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$17.51
- NO
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
2000 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.0K
$39.00
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
1741 shares @ 87.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$138.31
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
1010 shares @ 59.4¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$963.03
$362.75
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?
997 shares @ 90.9¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$950.69
$44.85
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$905.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?
895 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$886.95
$5.89
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
800 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$796.80
$1.60
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
818 shares @ 92.5¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$777.91
$20.54
- NO
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
890 shares @ 72.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$761.33
$116.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?$201.78Jun 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS bank failure by June 30?$5.92Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS bank failure by June 30?$28.49Jun 13, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$0.20Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?$0.31Jun 13, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?$0.20Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$0.01Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?$0.01Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?$0.06Jun 13, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?$0.02Jun 13, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$1.79Jun 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$1.61Jun 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$3.86Jun 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$0.54Jun 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic CEO arrested?$33.81Jun 13, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by June 30?$51.78Jun 13, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?$198.27Jun 13, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santander fail by June 30, 2026?$29.74Jun 13, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLRecord crypto liquidation in 2026?$3.10Jun 12, 22:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $55.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 19:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.