0x8ac2a3700d0be4f8755926effabe0b18f31c3d5c
0x8ac2a3700d0be4f8755926effabe0b18f31c3d5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$5.10
Total PnL
$-57.91
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.08
$-2.92
- NO
Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
95 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Cameroon win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$5.32Feb 28, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.01Feb 28, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$1.34Feb 27, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$1.08Feb 8, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Greenland" during NewsNation interview?$1.12Feb 8, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The United Kingdom by Feburary 1?$1.27Feb 8, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.82Feb 8, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMTrump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?$8.77Feb 8, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.02Feb 4, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$2.00Jan 25, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 25, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 25, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 5-7 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?$1.87Jan 25, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)$1.12Jan 24, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5-7 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?$1.00Jan 24, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?$1.00Jan 24, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)$2.30Jan 23, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)$3.82Jan 23, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?$2.63Jan 22, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?$1.00Jan 22, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 18:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 17:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.