Whirlwind-Lender
0x8afd920678ee54c6cd17835d4384d16815fbcf93
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$38.68
Total PnL
$-62.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
8 shares @ 61.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.06
$3.06
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
66 shares @ 13.6¢·now 10.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$6.60
$-2.40
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
6 shares @ 85.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
19 shares @ 25.9¢·now 27.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.30
$0.30
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
27 shares @ 11.3¢·now 9.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 4.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$-7.95
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.73
$-1.27
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.67
$-4.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$5.00Feb 8, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$5.00Feb 8, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$5.00Feb 8, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$5.00Feb 8, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$5.00Feb 8, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$10.00Feb 8, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$5.00Feb 6, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$4.90Feb 6, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$2.00Feb 6, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$4.00Feb 6, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$5.00Feb 6, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$5.00Feb 6, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $5.00Feb 6, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$5.00Feb 6, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$5.00Feb 6, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$4.00Feb 6, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?$3.00Feb 6, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$3.00Feb 6, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$3.00Feb 6, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $10.00Feb 6, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $21.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 08:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 15:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.