Responsible-Creativity
0x8ba3c789541ab8388bdcbdce981dd597459d4d61
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$7.09
Total PnL
$-35.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 54.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.50
$-0.32
- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
15 shares @ 6.5¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.53
$0.53
- NO
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.54
$-1.19
- YES
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.02
$-1.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
46 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
15 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 7-13?
13 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 18, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.00May 18, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.63May 18, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$3.85May 18, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?$7.39May 2, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.82Apr 14, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.00Apr 14, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?$3.41Apr 14, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 8, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?$1.00Apr 8, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone propose at the Met Gala?$5.00Apr 8, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: April$1.00Apr 8, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.08Apr 7, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.17Apr 7, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth impeached by June 30?$1.00Apr 7, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth impeached by June 30?$1.00Apr 7, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 7-13?$1.00Apr 7, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$1.00Apr 3, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.00Apr 3, 02:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 03:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.