Weighty-Highway
0x8bb4985ec53eb1f8ae79b7c6435c6b22d5dfd639
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$801.35
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-8.34
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
750 shares @ 54.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$491.25
$86.25
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
448 shares @ 49.6¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$194.75
$-27.25
- NO
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
51 shares @ 13.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$44.88
$38.21
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
230 shares @ 16.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.45
$-10.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
300 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.25
$-24.75
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$1.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?
101 shares @ 10.6¢·now 7.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.42
$-3.26
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.13
$4.09
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
48 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.04
$0.71
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?
31 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.68
$0.61
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.