Pale-Joint
0x8cafe3a796aa6e3cfd5bf15991358a389d133545
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$12.88
Total PnL
$-186.63
Realised
$1.53
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
1100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
17 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.15
$0.26
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
206 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.34
$-5.43
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?
258 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.03
$-0.97
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 13?
27 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.7¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.74
$0.12
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C or below on May 13?
245 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- NO
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
81 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.68
$-1.32
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 13?
128 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.64
$-0.64
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?
109 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.60
$-0.60
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 13?
23 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.55
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 13?$0.658h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 13?$0.218h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 13?$1.348h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 13?$0.468h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 13?$0.109h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on May 13?$1.269h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 13?$1.269h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on May 13?$1.059h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?$1.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?$1.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C or below on May 13?$1.0514h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.0514h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$2.9114h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$2.0120h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?$1.0020h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?$1.0020h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$3.5120h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
