0x8ce03dbc82844453e06ae0c47aeef86fde3a90fc
0x8ce03dbc82844453e06ae0c47aeef86fde3a90fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$108.67
Total PnL
$8.80
Realised
$3.39
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
20 shares @ 93.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.45
$0.81
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 64.5¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.85
$4.31
- NO
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
18 shares @ 80.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.75
$1.25
- YES
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
64 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.56
$0.24
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
17 shares @ 52.7¢·now 53.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.04
$0.07
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 75.1¢·now 88.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.10
$1.09
- NO
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
8 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.36
$-0.04
- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
11 shares @ 49.7¢·now 46.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.15
$-0.31
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.10
$-0.18
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.35
$1.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$2.44Jun 12, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$1.74Jun 12, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$1.93Jun 10, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$2.10Jun 3, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.92May 20, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$6.45May 20, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.65May 20, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$7.04May 20, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$1.04May 20, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$2.79May 20, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?$5.85May 20, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $5.28May 20, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $1.82May 20, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$5.47Apr 27, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$6.04Apr 27, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$2.08Apr 27, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$4.67Apr 27, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $4.92Apr 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $3.96Apr 25, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$14.40Apr 25, 10:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 15:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 18:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.