Weepy-Sorbet
0x8d02cae3515ea6b7e6ec1ae6b422b5d58b102753
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-152.74
Realised
$131.80
Win rate
100%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2165 shares @ 64.3¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-341.06
- NO
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 20?
816 shares @ 61.8¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$591.68
$87.19
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
326 shares @ 79.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$261.90
$1.91
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
220 shares @ 82.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$199.17
$16.76
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
188 shares @ 77.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$164.69
$18.70
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in July?
194 shares @ 54.2¢·now 84.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$162.73
$57.73
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
168 shares @ 83.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.21
$18.13
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
160 shares @ 81.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$139.70
$9.69
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
142 shares @ 70.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$114.14
$13.81
- YES
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
453 shares @ 7.1¢·now 24.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.44
$79.44
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 30?$1.07Jul 25, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 27?$1.07Jul 25, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 26?$1.07Jul 25, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 26?$1.07Jul 25, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$30.40Jul 25, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$20.18Jul 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$20.18Jul 25, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$50.88Jul 25, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026?$10.29Jul 25, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$3.15Jul 25, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in July?$52.83Jul 25, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.82Jul 25, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$52.65Jul 25, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$39.25Jul 25, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?$12.82Jul 25, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?$31.21Jul 25, 17:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $30.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 21:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.