Will Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026?
Probability
35¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+6.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-31.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 7pp over 24h
Now 35¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6010h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 40.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6009.7h
- 19:19SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6010h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+6.5pp over the last 24h, now 35¢.
Biggest hourly move: -26.5pp at 22:00 (to 34¢).
Show all 67 hour-by-hour ticks
- 19:00 · -17.5pp → 35¢
- 17:00 · -17.5pp → 35¢
- 16:00 · -17.5pp → 35¢
- 15:00 · -16.5pp → 37¢
- 13:00 · -15.5pp → 35¢
- 12:00 · -15.5pp → 35¢
- 10:00 · -18.0pp → 35¢
- 09:00 · -12.5pp → 35¢
- 08:00 · -18.5pp → 35¢
- 06:00 · -12.5pp → 36¢
- 05:00 · -11.0pp → 35¢
- 03:00 · -17.0pp → 34¢
- 02:00 · -21.0pp → 34¢
- 00:00 · -13.0pp → 34¢
- 22:00 · -26.5pp → 34¢
- 20:00 · -18.5pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · -19.5pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · -20.5pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · -19.5pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · -23.0pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · -17.0pp → 39¢
- 1d ago · -9.0pp → 39¢
- 1d ago · -14.0pp → 39¢
- 1d ago · -16.0pp → 40¢
- 1d ago · -14.5pp → 40¢
- 1d ago · -17.0pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -16.5pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -18.0pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -9.0pp → 39¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 39¢
- 2d ago · -22.5pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · -14.5pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -20.5pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -14.5pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -10.5pp → 44¢
- 2d ago · -16.5pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · -22.0pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · -20.5pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · -14.0pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · -11.5pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · -14.0pp → 49¢
- 2d ago · -11.5pp → 53¢
- 3d ago · -11.5pp → 53¢
- 3d ago · -7.5pp → 53¢
- 3d ago · -14.0pp → 51¢
- 3d ago · -5.5pp → 51¢
- 3d ago · -18.5pp → 45¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 48¢
- 3d ago · -9.0pp → 54¢
- 3d ago · -15.5pp → 49¢
- 3d ago · -16.5pp → 46¢
- 3d ago · -15.5pp → 49¢
- 3d ago · -13.5pp → 51¢
- 3d ago · -15.0pp → 47¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 59¢
- 3d ago · -6.0pp → 48¢
- 3d ago · -8.0pp → 47¢
- 4d ago · -4.5pp → 52¢
- 4d ago · -10.0pp → 49¢
- 4d ago · -13.0pp → 48¢
- 4d ago · -21.5pp → 43¢
- 4d ago · -5.0pp → 56¢
- 4d ago · -11.5pp → 53¢
- 4d ago · +3.5pp → 56¢
- 4d ago · -6.0pp → 56¢
- 4d ago · -14.5pp → 52¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Chainlink (LINK/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:35 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the LINK/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/LINK_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance LINK/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · highbinance.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (40.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.