Noted-Power
0x8d5a2e1fb19a76ce2df29bedef6bc763809a5218
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$140.69
Total PnL
$-106.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Meta (META) close at >$710 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?
141 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$140.69
$0.69
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?
1301 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
633 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- DOCISK
LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs DOCISK (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs
22 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- PANTHERS
Sabres vs. Panthers
18 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- STEFAN DOSTANIC
Savannah: Daniel Galan vs Stefan Dostanic
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.39
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
14 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- LLOYD HARRIS
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris
14 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- GOLDEN KNIGHTS
Sabres vs. Golden Knights
14 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.35
- CLARA TAUSON
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Clara Tauson vs Oleksandra Oliynykova
13 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at >$710 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?$140.03Jul 17, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$3.12Jul 17, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?$143.14Jul 17, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?$143.01Jun 26, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$12.71Jun 26, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$131.14Jun 26, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$131.01Jun 1, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBirmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris$8.20Jun 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.55Jun 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMZhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks$11.88Jun 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$116.79Jun 1, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$116.67May 31, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYZhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks$3.88May 31, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$120.55May 31, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$120.44May 30, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$120.44May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$120.10May 29, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.50May 29, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on May 28?$0.00May 29, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$0.00May 29, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $97.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 10:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 07:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.