Immediate-Subprime
0x8d89c43f6701ef2c598655c810e73e56e78f0e5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$43.64
Total PnL
$1.17
Realised
$0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 81.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 84.2¢·now 83.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.40
$0.40
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.14
$0.13
- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.13
$0.13
- NO
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.01May 16, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?$1.33May 16, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?$0.00May 13, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?$0.00May 13, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?$1.01May 13, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Espanyol place 17th for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?$2.00May 10, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 7?$2.08May 8, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?$2.30May 8, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 7?$2.01May 7, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?$2.01May 3, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?$1.24May 1, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?$2.01May 1, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$2.14May 1, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.60 in April?$5.14May 1, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$10.61May 1, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in April?$5.00Apr 28, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?$1.00Apr 25, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?$2.00Apr 22, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.00Apr 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$10.00Apr 17, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 18:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".