Feline-Pile
0x8d9fa0e3dcdc764f85db7ca64730269c2119104b
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.98
Total PnL
$-24.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 1?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
15 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$1.05Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$1.00May 17, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.30May 17, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 8, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$1.00Apr 1, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$3.37Apr 1, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$1.00Mar 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$1.10Mar 29, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 27, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$1.23Mar 27, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.01Mar 27, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$1.10Mar 27, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$1.00Mar 22, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?$1.00Mar 20, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$1.00Mar 19, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$1.00Mar 19, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Mar 19, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.00Mar 19, 10:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.