Virtual-Cell
0x8e2c7bc8725b2383163bcd3a142849aecf4c621e
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$822.46
Total PnL
$-196.71
Realised
$26.59
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
300 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$293.54
$5.55
- NO
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
337 shares @ 68.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$261.29
$29.91
- NO
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?
210 shares @ 71.5¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$123.63
$-26.16
- NO
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
110 shares @ 74.7¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.15
$-31.05
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 71.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.50
$-20.50
- NO
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
50 shares @ 71.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$38.50
$3.00
- NO
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.59
$0.65
- YES
Will either Tate brother be arrested by June 30?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.98
$-0.05
- YES
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?
2 shares @ 7.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.28
$0.11
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?$29.79Jun 10, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 11?$11.84Jun 8, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 11?$0.16Jun 8, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?$22.51Jun 5, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?$14.99Jun 5, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?$50.00Jun 4, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$50.00Jun 2, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$132.54May 29, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$1.00May 29, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$1.00May 29, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$1.00May 29, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$1.00May 29, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$1.00May 29, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$0.95May 28, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?$43.99May 28, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?$22.03May 28, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?$72.00May 28, 07:23 UTC
- MERGEInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$70.94May 26, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$53.20May 26, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?$60.50May 25, 07:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $27.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 11:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.