Rotating-Statement
0x8ea3af44c3e147e546f877a1afa1b17a0b1852a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$84.28
Realised
$12.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
400 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$342.00
$6.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
367 shares @ 85.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$313.43
$-1.51
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
250 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$216.25
$-1.25
- NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
214 shares @ 87.9¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.45
$13.00
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$146.93
$7.42
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
160 shares @ 76.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$129.35
$7.98
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
140 shares @ 88.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$126.70
$2.20
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
150 shares @ 68.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.75
$-2.25
- OVER
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5
145 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$99.28
$-0.72
- NO
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
100 shares @ 91.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$98.84
$7.55
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?$10.40Jul 13, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?$4.86Jul 13, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$115.70Jul 13, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5$101.55Jul 13, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?$3.45Jul 13, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?$9.08Jul 13, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?$338.15Jul 13, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill British or Norwegian Airways swap logos on Instagram?$215.41Jul 12, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$222.22Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$217.98Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$200.82Jul 11, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$201.00Jul 11, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill British or Norwegian Airways swap logos on Instagram?$3.21Jul 11, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill British or Norwegian Airways swap logos on Instagram?$106.36Jul 11, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill British or Norwegian Airways swap logos on Instagram?$97.24Jul 11, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Jul 10, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$0.00Jul 10, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?$0.00Jul 10, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMEngland-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?$0.00Jul 10, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 10, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $117.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 12:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.