Sarcastic-Commandment
0x8ebfdc251c6c378d4a3a54a8f15cebfa4b9183ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$111.3K
Total PnL
$162.79
Realised
$316.04
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
110000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$93.4K
$38.4K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
110000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.6K
$-38.4K
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
743 shares @ 88.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$686.78
$27.00
- YES
Will ECDSA.fail get at least 40% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$199.30
$1.30
- NO
Exact Score: Notts County FC 1 - 0 Salford City FC?
56 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 25, 2026$55.25
$-0.19
- YES
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?
56 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 25, 2026$55.25
$-0.19
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
50 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.02
$1.52
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
50 shares @ 64.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.75
$-3.25
- NO
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
719 shares @ 12.5¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$27.69
$-62.52
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
75 shares @ 29.1¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$25.62
$3.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$0.50Jun 14, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$3.00Jun 14, 08:46 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$60.0KJun 14, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.00Jun 14, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?$0.00Jun 14, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?$0.00Jun 14, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 12?$0.00Jun 14, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?$555.50Jun 14, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?$554.94Jun 14, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$0.33Jun 14, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$4.97Jun 14, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMLyndon Dykes: 1+ shots$30.00Jun 14, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMLyndon Dykes: 2+ shots$30.00Jun 14, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLyndon Dykes: 2+ shots$29.97Jun 14, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLyndon Dykes: 1+ shots$29.97Jun 14, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Noir Esports - Game 2 Winner$61.50Jun 14, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Noir Esports - Game 2 Winner$60.27Jun 14, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$22.0KJun 14, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWTT - Women's Singles: Sakura Yokoi vs Yuling Zhu$124.63Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTT - Women's Singles: Sakura Yokoi vs Yuling Zhu$124.51Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$18.7K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
May 17, 00:00 UTC → May 16, 23:52 UTC
- SELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$18.7K@100¢May 16, 23:52 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$18.7K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
$18.7K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $28.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 20:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.