Back-Derivative
0x8edcf1e30e03fbbf3bf5b48e70e44ad0f14b589c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$642.73
Total PnL
$520.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1400 shares @ 1.1¢·now 38.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$537.60
$522.20
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
50 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.35
$1.35
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
53 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.78
$-0.27
- YES
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$15.00May 16, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$5.61May 15, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.06May 15, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.38May 14, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$5.35May 14, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$2.88May 14, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$1.44May 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$3.24May 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.06May 13, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.04May 13, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.07May 13, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.05May 13, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.08May 13, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$39.36May 13, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.07May 13, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.06May 13, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.05May 13, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.07May 13, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.07May 13, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.12May 13, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 09:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 03:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".