Humming-Bribery
0x8f1b2fcd0f5b5b02a34bf2eec516863df3b52ee6
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$320.36
Total PnL
$-113.75
Realised
$-4.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
319 shares @ 61.2¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$130.78
$-64.42
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
166 shares @ 63.3¢·now 38.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.19
$-41.81
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
109 shares @ 11.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.84
$5.84
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 31.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.20
$3.80
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
79 shares @ 15.1¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
90 shares @ 13.3¢·now 11.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.97
$-2.03
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
103 shares @ 11.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.86
$-3.14
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0011h ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$21.7212h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in May?$0.4122h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in May?$4.0922h ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?$13.003d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?$12.005d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$6.406d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$0.037d ago
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$6.757d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$10.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$15.008d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$0.009d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $9.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 22d ago
- Last active
- 11h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".