Thirsty-Roller
0x8f315c9e8b902740c1e11818b9df2beb8bd02c4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$39.90
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-17.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.99
$0.01
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.61
$0.01
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
6 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.57
$0.09
- NO
Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in the US in May?
3 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
2 shares @ 82.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.82
$0.32
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.78
$0.32
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.54
$0.00
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in May?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.36
$0.00
- NO
Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in the US in May?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.11
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$105.00Jul 13, 05:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $105.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.