Cute-Bottomline-Coke
0x8f3bbd308ea42b517620c7bfdbe85f3816c4f205
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$227.02
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
194 shares @ 51.5¢·now 96.1¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$186.51
$86.51
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
737 shares @ 25.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$40.51
$-149.49
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4254 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?
2622 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
2195 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
737 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-88.49
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?
421 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
256 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
160 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?$190.00Jul 3, 16:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$290.39Jun 21, 17:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$91.60Jun 20, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$299.75Jun 20, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 20, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$935.34Jun 20, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$100.00Jun 18, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$200.00Jun 18, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$200.00Jun 18, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$555.56Jun 15, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$100.00Jun 14, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$101.94Jun 12, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$259.26Jun 10, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?$154.83Jun 10, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$157.07Jun 10, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$789.23Jun 10, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.34Jun 4, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$211.23Jun 4, 01:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $214.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 16:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.