Dependent-Nickel
0x8fdb3b3692ca522a428961f0e0d80128f6476bfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$54.40
Total PnL
$-120.22
Realised
$-14.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.61
$-1.39
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$12.92
$2.92
- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.07
$-2.93
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
76 shares @ 9.2¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.36
$-2.64
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
39 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.45
$-1.05
- NO
James Comey arrested by May 15?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$7.25Jun 9, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$0.00Jun 3, 01:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$6.84May 29, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada recession before 2027?$5.25May 29, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $7.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.