Inconsequential-Enactment
0x907d9621c11a9992bbf0b141fdd51125fd7cfc13
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$123.55
Total PnL
$-126.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$105.95
$5.95
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$11.13
$1.13
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.47
$-3.53
- YES
Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?
847 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?
735 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?
148 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Juliano Floss be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$27.03Jun 25, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$10.05May 16, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.17May 14, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by April 30?$21.98May 14, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-04-15?$65.76May 14, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-04-15?$60.00Apr 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Santos FC (-2.5)$0.00Apr 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Santos FC (-2.5)$20.00Apr 15, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$20.00Apr 13, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.80Apr 13, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?$50.66Apr 13, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Samira Sagr win Big Brother Brasil 26?$0.61Apr 13, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Platense win on 2026-04-09?$13.96Apr 11, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Platense win on 2026-04-09?$10.00Apr 9, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$20.00Apr 9, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?$10.00Apr 7, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?$13.16Apr 6, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?$10.00Apr 3, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?$10.00Apr 3, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?$0.00Apr 3, 17:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $15.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 03:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 01:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.