Definitive-Rainy
0x917ce75d72c8f41ccd3b14c69a1400ff342f5119
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$30.88
Total PnL
$-4.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?
4 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- NO
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
4 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $170 in May?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $40 in May?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$10.33May 17, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$10.30May 15, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$10.23May 14, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$10.20May 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.00May 12, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 11, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$3.00May 8, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$2.00May 8, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.00May 7, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?$1.00May 6, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.00May 5, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?$2.00May 5, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.00May 5, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$4.00May 5, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $40 in May?$1.00May 5, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $400 in May?$2.00May 5, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 5, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB reach $900 in April?$2.01May 5, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.80 in April?$2.21May 5, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$2.21May 5, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".